Home » Pacquiao vs Barrios predictions: Who will win?

Pacquiao vs Barrios predictions: Who will win?

The Pacquiao vs Barrios predictions are coming in! Check out who’s the safe bet as they collide on Fight Night Saturday!

For this reason, expect a jampacked crowd at MGM Grand in Las Vegas to witness Pacquiao’s first professional fight after a four-year sabbatical.

Also, visit our Fight Week analysis for more information.

PACQUIAO VS BARRIOS PREDICTIONS MOSTLY SAY ‘EL AZTECA’ TO STOP ‘PAC-MAN’ COMEBACK BID

The Pacquiao vs Barrios predictions mostly said the man called “El Azteca” will stop “Pac-Man” in his comeback bid.

In addition, the latest odds as of July 15 saw Barrios as a -280 favorite.

Meanwhile, Pacquiao, who is chasing history with this fight, was listed as a +210 underdog.

On the other hand, two of three experts from Bloody Knockout are convinced Barrios will retain his World Boxing Council (WBC) welterweight title.

Harvey Burton and James Sweetnam cited the 30-year-old American’s youth and at his peak.

These are qualities that should be enough to win Saturday.

Ross Markey still believes that the 46-year-old Hall-of-Famer still has enough left in the tank to win.

Please also visit our “What You Need to Know” piece for more details on the fight.

BARRIOS ‘TOO BIG, TOO YOUNG’ FOR OLDER, SLOWER PACQUIAO, SAYS ODDSHARK

Consequently, OddsShark sees Barrios as “too big, too young, and too sharp” for the older and slower Pacquiao.

In the same way, the San Antonio native’s handlers are expected to guide him in taking the waiting game.

This means the longer the fight goes to the later rounds or the distance, the more it favors Barrios.

What’s more, Oddsshark believes the American should use his jab more and to keep Pacquiao at bay.

Also, Barrios should not be tempted in seeking a knockout on Pacquiao and just stick to his game plan to keep his WBC title.

For this, Oddsshark sees Barrios winning by decision (+210).

BETTING ANALYST CITES PAC-MAN LOSS TO UGAS, BARRIOS’ PAST FIGHTS AS BASIS

In comparison, a betting analyst cited Pac-Man’s loss to Ugas in 2021 and Barrios’ previous fights against Gervonta Davis and Keith Thuman for his verdict.

Danny Howard, as told to Covers.com, recalled Pacquiao’s strong start against Ugas only to slow down in the fourth round.

Because of this, Pacquiao’s legs failed him in the later rounds.

Ugas capitalized in pulling off a unanimous decision win.

Howard acknowledged that Barrios may not be the best of the current welterweight champions.

However, he remains active and his youth should put him in good stead.

Check out the latest Pacquiao vs Barrios odds by DraftKings as of July 15:

Method of Victory	Pacquiao	Barrios
Win Outright	+220	-290
Win by KO/TKO	+475	+130
Win by points or decision	+550	+200
Draw	+1400	+1400

FIGHT EXPECTED TO GO OVER 10.5 ROUNDS, SAYS HOWARD

Howard says the fight is expected to go over 10.5 rounds.

As a result, Pacquiao will need to regain bursts of his explosiveness early if he wants to beat Barrios and perhaps, might even score a knockout.

However, if “Pac-Man” fails to give trouble to “El Azteca” in the early rounds and the fight drags on to the distance, the former will be in trouble.

Pacquiao, who takes pride in his favorite food weeks before the fight, may just use most of his legs to avoid a stoppage.

However, losing to a younger Barrios might not be enough in a long-drawn fight.

THE STANDARD SAYS BARRIOS TO WIN BY STOPPAGE IN NINTH ROUND

The Standard says Barrios will win by stoppage by the ninth round.

Consequently, the American has exposed his flaws during his losses to Gervonta Davis and Keith Thurman.

However, youth is on “El Azteca’s” side even if he’s not an established welterweight champion, which might still be too much on an aging Pacquiao.

Most importantly, ring rust or inactivity may be too much to overcome even for a southpaw-turned-two-handed-fighter like Pacquiao.

Check out the latest Pacquiao vs Barrios odds, this time from Betfair as of July 15:

Method of Victory	Pacquiao	Barrios
Win Outright	21/10	4/11
Win by KO/TKO	9/2	5/4
Win by points or decision	9/2	11/5
Draw	16/1	16/1

‘EL AZTECA’ BY DECISION, SAYS YARDBARKER

Expect “El Azteca” to win via a decision, says YardBarker.

In the same way, YardBarker based its prediction on its own head-to-head comparison figures.

This points to Barrios getting the edge.

Not only that, Pacquiao’s stance has transformed from unorthodox to a two-handed fighter, and he may have the experience and enough power and some hand and foot speed.

However, Barrios’ size, active fights, youth , and determination to rise among the best welterweights should tilt the balance in his favor.

Take a look at these other stats to consider before making those bets.

Pacquiao	Head-to-Head Comparison	Barrios
63%	Power (KO Percentage)	62%
5 inches up (height) 4 inches reach ahead	Size (Height and reach)	5 inches below (height) 4 inches below (reach0
72	Experience (Number of professional fights)	32
498	Total Rounds fought	198
11.2	Last 5 fight Average Rounds	9
2 (including a draw and no contest)	Recent form Wins in last 5 matches	3 (including a draw)
8 months ago	Activity Level: Last fight	11 months ago (exhibition match)
1 fight every 8 months	Average fight	1 fight every 1 year and 3 mos.
Experience, power, southpaw, relentless pressure, ability to adapt	Strengths	Size & reach advantage, more active in ring, durability to go the distance, orthodox stance
Advanced age, inactivity, durability concerns	Weakness	Inability to close out fights, vulnerability to elite fighters

CELEBRITIES REMAIN DIVIDED ON ‘PAC-MAN,’ BARRIOS

Celebrities have remained divided on who will come out on top in this much-anticipated fight.

Nevertheless, others made a hypothetical analysis of the two fighters, whether what form will show up on fight night.

Keith Thurman and Ricky Hatton are just some of the fights who are convinced Barrios will frustrate Pacquiao’s comeback bid and retain his title.

Meanwhile, former boxer and current US sports commentator Shawn Porter sees Barrios should “make it ugly early, or it’s a problem (for him).”

On the other hand, former Pacquiao victim Marco Antonio Barrera and Hall of Famer Sugar Ray Leonard leave it for the fans to decide.

Moreover, Barrios’ sparring partner Brandon Figueroa described “El Azteca” as “no pushover,” making it a “50-50” fight.

Above all, former Pacquiao promoter and Top Rank executive Bob Arum expressed concern for “Pac-Man” but vowed to root for him during fight night.

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